Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.007818 0.009166 0.010778 0.012875 0.015579 0.019013 0.023815
2025-07-13 0.006350 0.008054 0.010337 0.013736 0.018887 0.026822 0.040963
2025-07-20 0.005437 0.007252 0.009876 0.014168 0.021516 0.034782 0.064394
2025-07-27 0.004744 0.006560 0.009333 0.014206 0.023407 0.042465 0.095341
2025-08-03 0.004247 0.006046 0.008923 0.014292 0.025358 0.051479 0.142852
2025-08-10 0.003774 0.005485 0.008314 0.013841 0.026029 0.058069 0.196755
2025-08-17 0.003344 0.004933 0.007624 0.013061 0.025682 0.061825 0.250465
2025-08-24 0.003013 0.004505 0.007085 0.012461 0.025555 0.066310 0.326297
2025-08-31 0.002848 0.004336 0.006985 0.012744 0.027773 0.080807 0.558628
2025-09-07 0.002632 0.004054 0.006634 0.012404 0.028185 0.089135 0.822981
2025-09-14 0.002426 0.003771 0.006247 0.011909 0.027986 0.094927 1.158093
2025-09-21 0.002298 0.003615 0.006087 0.011914 0.029344 0.110302 2.190242
2025-09-28 0.002201 0.003518 0.006061 0.012312 0.032478 0.143413 8.312665
2025-10-05 0.002143 0.003493 0.006181 0.013135 0.037802 0.209311 493.097502
2025-10-12 0.002057 0.003401 0.006147 0.013542 0.041919 0.286943 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001953 0.003264 0.005994 0.013577 0.044550 0.367749 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001862 0.003146 0.005867 0.013658 0.047563 0.484744 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001750 0.002973 0.005595 0.013234 0.047751 0.557996 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001629 0.002776 0.005245 0.012500 0.045868 0.573779 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001528 0.002613 0.004962 0.011935 0.044718 0.610587 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001482 0.002560 0.004935 0.012202 0.048757 0.893749 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001409 0.002445 0.004745 0.011882 0.048949 1.047812 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001334 0.002320 0.004522 0.011415 0.047933 1.137202 NaN